Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.161653 0.233473 0.315469 0.413657 0.525999 0.648799 0.791584
2025-11-09 0.055537 0.132348 0.239225 0.384589 0.566746 0.779593 1.040304
2025-11-16 0.013532 0.073877 0.181531 0.346275 0.567754 0.838634 1.181436
2025-11-23 0.001191 0.044339 0.151426 0.334424 0.594673 0.923756 1.349670
2025-11-30 NaN 0.029905 0.138831 0.342492 0.644009 1.033862 1.545748
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017004 0.121250 0.338344 0.673737 1.117169 1.707595
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006755 0.099369 0.321858 0.682729 1.171425 1.831636
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005098 0.102837 0.349599 0.755944 1.310174 2.062100
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003874 0.106768 0.377919 0.830007 1.450188 2.294440
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002030 0.104258 0.393133 0.884022 1.563283 2.492624
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002000 0.113553 0.431805 0.973965 1.725013 2.753233
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001426 0.117611 0.459861 1.047698 1.864997 2.986269
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000240 0.110063 0.465349 1.089453 1.965745 3.174702
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.085465 0.430842 1.067356 1.979182 3.251331
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.061906 0.390956 1.032646 1.972486 3.299575
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.050976 0.378097 1.040193 2.023375 3.421823
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.048252 0.386759 1.083690 2.124953 3.610754
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.041623 0.382320 1.104143 2.193436 3.755824
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.031936 0.364725 1.100395 2.226504 3.853429
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.035960 0.394323 1.180503 2.380914 4.112996
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.040167 0.424471 1.261631 2.536900 4.374819
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.040379 0.440640 1.317932 2.657057 4.588994
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.047726 0.481663 1.418524 2.841409 4.888961